Post-pandemic order will be very different as many governments retreat from global economic integration
WASHINGTON—Globalization, which has shaped the world economic order over the past few decades, was already in trouble before the pandemic. And with the emergence of COVID-19, the retreat from global economic integration has gained momentum, setting in motion a global reordering thats expected to play out over decades.
President Donald Trump said that the lessons learned from the pandemic vindicate his “America First” policies.
While he came under fire for his protectionist stance, which has caused a fundamental shift in the world trade order in the past few years, the pandemic has proven that he was right and globalists were wrong, he said.
“In many ways, weve learned a lot, and were going to bring back manufacturing that we could never have done without this,” he told Fox Business on May 14. “A lot of people are saying, Trump was right. Ive been talking about this for a long time.”
“Stupid supply chains” are all over the world, he said, noting that “one little piece of the world goes bad and the whole thing is messed up.”
Trump believes the era of “globalists” who wanted to “make the world wealthy” at Americans expense has also come to an end.
“I dont even know where these people come from. But those days are over. And if nothing else, over the last two months, its been proven to be right.”
With the pandemic, public opinion has also shifted against globalization. People in the United States have been disturbed to find that their health depends on China, which is the dominant supplier of protective equipment and crucial drugs.
Overreliance on a single country for life-saving equipment and medicines during the pandemic has exposed the vulnerability of global supply chains. Its also raised concerns about the purity and safety of thousands of drugs that are made in China.
A survey by Pew Research Center in March found that roughly two-thirds of Americans now have an unfavorable view of China. And over the recent weeks, more and more countries have been calling for Beijing to be held accountable for the regimes initial response to the outbreak.
The World After the Pandemic
The post-pandemic order will be very different, as many governments across the world are also giving up on globalization and talking about decoupling from China.
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi took to national television on May 12 to announce his new stimulus package, with an ambition to create “a self-reliant India.” The plan is expected to boost the “Make in India” initiative and the countrys manufacturing capacity.
Last month, Japans prime minister, Shinzo Abe, announced that his government was setting aside more than $2 billion in funds to help Japanese firms shift production out of China.
President Emmanuel Macron of France told the Financial Times on April 16 that the pandemic “will change the nature of globalization, with which we have lived for the past 40 years,” adding that “it was clear that this kind of globalization was reaching the end of its cycle, it was undermining democracy.”
The economic recovery plan drafted by the European Union highlighted the importance of building “strategic autonomy” in vital supply chains and reducing reliance on third countries.
“Weve effectively crushed globalization,” Michael OSullivan, author of the book “The Levelling: Whats Next After Globalization,” told The Epoch Times.
Normally, in this kind of crisis, he said, countries tend to create an international coordination group “to save the world.”
Instead, big powers are now at odds with each other, squabbling over medical supplies and racing to ban exports of ventilators, masks, and other personal protective gear, he said.
In the post-pandemic world, the whole idea of a multipolar world will come into more focus, he said.
OSullivan, in his book, describes the new world order in a post-globalization era, in which three major players will dominate geopolitics: China-centric Asia, the Americas, and Europe.
Reducing US Reliance on China
Similar to the manner in which different countries reacted to the supply chain disruptions, the Trump administration has ramped up efforts to make the United States “more independent, self-sufficient, and resilient.”
On May 14, Trump signed an executive order that gave the U.S. International Development Finance Corp. new powers to support manufacturers in the United States.
The overseas investment agency normally invests in economic development projects in other countries. With this new order, it will also help key industries producing vital goods and services in the United States.
On May 18, the Trump administration signed a $354 million contract with Phlow Corp., a Virginia-based company, to manufacture critical medicines and drug ingredients for use in the fight against the coronavirus.
Phlow will work with a team of private industRead More – Source